Dreams & Nightmares Case Odds
The Dreams & Nightmares Case was released in 2022 and uses the standard CS2 drop rates shared by all weapon cases. Below you will find the complete odds breakdown, probability tables, a calculator, and frequently asked questions.
Dreams & Nightmares Case Drop Rates
| Rarity | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Mil-Spec (Blue) | 79.92% | 1 in 1.25 |
| Restricted (Purple) | 15.98% | 1 in 6.26 |
| Classified (Pink) | 3.20% | 1 in 31.25 |
| Covert (Red) | 0.64% | 1 in 156.25 |
| Exceedingly Rare (Gold) | 0.26% | 1 in 384.6 |
Dreams & Nightmares Case Knife Probability
The chance of receiving a knife or gloves from the Dreams & Nightmares Case is exactly 0.26% per opening. On average, you would need to open approximately 385 Dreams & Nightmares Case cases to receive one knife drop. The probability of getting at least one knife across different numbers of cases is shown below.
| Cases | Knife Chance | No Knife | Expected Coverts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 2.57% | 97.43% | 0.06 |
| 50 | 12.21% | 87.79% | 0.32 |
| 100 | 22.92% | 77.08% | 0.64 |
| 500 | 72.79% | 27.21% | 3.20 |
Dreams & Nightmares Case Calculator
Enter the number of Dreams & Nightmares Case cases you plan to open to see expected drops across all rarities:
Case Odds Calculator
Dreams & Nightmares Case Expected Value
The expected return from opening Dreams & Nightmares Case depends on current market prices for the skins it contains. Use our expected value calculator for Dreams & Nightmares Case to compute the precise EV based on current case and key prices.
Is Dreams & Nightmares Case Worth Opening?
From a pure expected value perspective, no CS2 case is profitable to open on average. The Dreams & Nightmares Case follows this pattern. The expected return is approximately 30-40% of the cost of opening. However, the Dreams & Nightmares Case contains some desirable skins that hold value well, which can make individual results highly variable. The possibility of receiving a high-value knife or rare pattern means some players will profit significantly while the majority will not.
If you choose to open Dreams & Nightmares Case cases, do so for entertainment rather than as an investment strategy. Set a budget you are comfortable losing entirely, as that is the most likely outcome from a mathematical perspective.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the odds in Dreams & Nightmares Case?
Dreams & Nightmares Case uses the standard CS2 drop rates: 79.92% Mil-Spec, 15.98% Restricted, 3.20% Classified, 0.64% Covert, and 0.26% knife/gloves.
What is the chance of a knife in Dreams & Nightmares Case?
The chance of a knife or gloves from Dreams & Nightmares Case is 0.26% per case opening, the same as every other CS2 case.
Is Dreams & Nightmares Case worth opening?
Like all CS2 cases, the expected value of opening Dreams & Nightmares Case is negative. On average you receive back roughly 30-40% of the opening cost. Individual results vary widely.