CS:GO Weapon Case 2 Odds

The CS:GO Weapon Case 2 was released in 2013 and uses the standard CS2 drop rates shared by all weapon cases. Below you will find the complete odds breakdown, probability tables, a calculator, and frequently asked questions.

CS:GO Weapon Case 2 Drop Rates

RarityProbabilityOdds
Mil-Spec (Blue)79.92%1 in 1.25
Restricted (Purple)15.98%1 in 6.26
Classified (Pink)3.20%1 in 31.25
Covert (Red)0.64%1 in 156.25
Exceedingly Rare (Gold)0.26%1 in 384.6

CS:GO Weapon Case 2 Knife Probability

The chance of receiving a knife or gloves from the CS:GO Weapon Case 2 is exactly 0.26% per opening. On average, you would need to open approximately 385 CS:GO Weapon Case 2 cases to receive one knife drop. The probability of getting at least one knife across different numbers of cases is shown below.

CasesKnife ChanceNo KnifeExpected Coverts
102.57%97.43%0.06
5012.21%87.79%0.32
10022.92%77.08%0.64
50072.79%27.21%3.20

CS:GO Weapon Case 2 Calculator

Enter the number of CS:GO Weapon Case 2 cases you plan to open to see expected drops across all rarities:

Case Odds Calculator

CS:GO Weapon Case 2 Expected Value

The expected return from opening CS:GO Weapon Case 2 depends on current market prices for the skins it contains. Use our expected value calculator for CS:GO Weapon Case 2 to compute the precise EV based on current case and key prices.

Is CS:GO Weapon Case 2 Worth Opening?

From a pure expected value perspective, no CS2 case is profitable to open on average. The CS:GO Weapon Case 2 follows this pattern. The expected return is approximately 30-40% of the cost of opening. However, the CS:GO Weapon Case 2 contains some desirable skins that hold value well, which can make individual results highly variable. The possibility of receiving a high-value knife or rare pattern means some players will profit significantly while the majority will not.

If you choose to open CS:GO Weapon Case 2 cases, do so for entertainment rather than as an investment strategy. Set a budget you are comfortable losing entirely, as that is the most likely outcome from a mathematical perspective.

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the odds in CS:GO Weapon Case 2?

CS:GO Weapon Case 2 uses the standard CS2 drop rates: 79.92% Mil-Spec, 15.98% Restricted, 3.20% Classified, 0.64% Covert, and 0.26% knife/gloves.

What is the chance of a knife in CS:GO Weapon Case 2?

The chance of a knife or gloves from CS:GO Weapon Case 2 is 0.26% per case opening, the same as every other CS2 case.

Is CS:GO Weapon Case 2 worth opening?

Like all CS2 cases, the expected value of opening CS:GO Weapon Case 2 is negative. On average you receive back roughly 30-40% of the opening cost. Individual results vary widely.

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